Analyzing the Setup
The random variable X takes values 0,1,2,3 with probabilities P(0)=302a+1, P(1)=308a−1, P(2)=304a+1, and P(3)=b.
The fundamental law of probability dictates that the sum of all probabilities must equal 1. We express this as:
302a+1+308a−1+304a+1+b=1
Combining the terms with the common denominator of 30, we obtain:
This equation successfully links our two unknowns, a and b.
The Shortcut to Genius
We are given the condition σ2+μ2=2. Many students rush to calculate the mean μ=E(X) and the variance σ2=E(X2)−μ2.
However, by substituting the definition of variance into the given condition, we observe a significant simplification:
σ2+μ2=(E(X2)−μ2)+μ2=E(X2)=2
This is the "aha!" moment. We do not need to calculate the mean; we only need the expected value of the square of the random variable, E(X2).
The Final Calculation
We define E(X2)=∑xi2P(xi). Substituting our specific values, we get:
02⋅(302a+1)+12⋅(308a−1)+22⋅(304a+1)+32⋅b=2
This simplifies to the following linear equation:
Substituting our expression for b=3029−14a into the equation, the entire expression collapses into a single variable a:
308a−1+16a+4+9(3029−14a)=2
Multiplying by 30 to clear the denominator:
−102a+264=60⟹102a=204⟹a=2
With a=2 determined, finding b is trivial:
Finally, the required ratio is: