Visualizing the Sample Space
When you toss a coin three times, each toss has two possibilities: Heads (H) or Tails (T). With three tosses, the total number of unique outcomes is 23=8.
The sample space
S is defined as:
S={HHH,HHT,HTH,HTT,THH,THT,TTH,TTT}
This represents the complete set of all possible outcomes for the experiment.
The Hunt for the Pattern
We define the random variable X as the number of times a tail follows a head. We are essentially hunting for the specific sequence 'HT'.
Scanning our sample space:
HHH: X=0
HHT: X=1
HTH: X=1
HTT: X=1
THH: X=0
THT: X=1
TTH: X=0
TTT: X=0
The pattern 'HT' appears in exactly four outcomes: {HHT,HTH,HTT,THT}. In these cases, X=1. In the other four outcomes, the pattern is absent, so X=0.
The Probability Distribution
Since each of the 8 outcomes is equally likely, the probability of any single outcome is 81.
The probability distribution is:
P(X=0)=84=21
P(X=1)=84=21
Calculating Mean and Variance
We calculate the mean,
μ=E[X], using the formula
μ=∑xiP(X=xi):
μ=0⋅21+1⋅21=21
Next, we find the variance,
σ2, using the formula
σ2=E[X2]−(E[X])2. First, we calculate the expected value of the square:
E[X2]=02⋅21+12⋅21=21
Now, we compute the variance:
σ2=21−(21)2=21−41=41
The Final Evaluation
We are tasked with computing the value of
64(μ+σ2). Substituting our calculated values:
64(21+41)
Simplifying the expression inside the parentheses:
21+41=42+41=43
Finally, we perform the multiplication:
64⋅43=16⋅3=48
The final result is 48.