Analyzing the Probability Space
The system is defined by a random variable X taking values in the set {1,2,3,4,5}. The probabilities associated with these outcomes are given as:
P(1)=K2, P(2)=2K, P(3)=K, P(4)=2K, and P(5)=5K2.
According to the fundamental axiom of probability, the sum of all probabilities in a sample space must equal exactly 1. We establish our anchor equation:
K2+2K+K+2K+5K2=1
Solving for the Constant K
We group the like terms to simplify the expression. Combining the
K2 terms and the
K terms, we obtain:
6K2+5K−1=0
To solve this quadratic equation, we look for two numbers that multiply to
−6 and add to
5. These numbers are
6 and
−1. We split the middle term and factor by grouping:
6K2+6K−K−1=0
(6K−1)(K+1)=0
This yields two potential candidates for K: K=1/6 or K=−1.
Applying Physical Constraints
We must perform a reality check on our solutions. Since a probability cannot be negative, K=−1 is rejected because it would result in negative probabilities (e.g., P(2)=2(−1)=−2).
Therefore, we discard the negative root and accept the valid value:
K=1/6
Final Calculation of P(X>2)
We are tasked with finding the probability
P(X>2). This corresponds to the sum of the probabilities for
X=3,
X=4, and
X=5:
P(X>2)=P(3)+P(4)+P(5)=K+2K+5K2=3K+5K2
Substituting
K=1/6 into the expression:
P(X>2)=3(61)+5(61)2
Simplifying the terms:
P(X>2)=63+365=3618+365
The final result is:
P(X>2)=3623