The Elegant Dance of Independent Events
Welcome, fellow traveler on the path to JEE mastery! Today, we are not just solving a probability problem; we are uncovering the hidden architecture of chance.
Probability is often seen as a collection of disjointed formulas, but when you look closer, it is a beautiful, logical structure. Let us break down this problem, step by step, and see how the pieces fit together.
Phase 1
The Foundation of Inclusion-Exclusion
We start with the Addition Theorem of Probability. Imagine you are looking at a Venn diagram with two events, A and B.
You want to find the probability of their union,
P(A∪B), which represents the probability that
at least one of these events occurs. The formula is intuitive:
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
Why the subtraction? It is all about bookkeeping. When you add the probability of A to the probability of B, you are counting the region where they overlap—the intersection P(A∩B)—twice.
To get the true area of the union, we must remove that extra count. This is the fundamental bookkeeping rule of probability.
Phase 2
The Power of Independence
Now, the problem gives us a gift: A and B are independent. In the world of probability, independence is a superpower.
It means that the outcome of
A has zero impact on the outcome of
B. Mathematically, this transforms our intersection term:
P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B)
This is the bridge we need. By substituting this into our addition theorem, we turn a problem with two unknowns into a problem with only one:
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A)⋅P(B)
Phase 3
The Algebraic Resolution
Now, let us bring in the numbers. We know P(A)=0.3 and P(A∪B)=0.8. Our equation becomes:
This is where many students rush and stumble. Take a breath. We want to isolate P(B). First, move the 0.3 to the left side:
See the elegance? By factoring out P(B), we simplify the right side to P(B)⋅0.7. Now, the final step is just simple division:
The Takeaway
Look at what we have achieved. We started with a set of abstract conditions and, by applying the logic of independence and the addition theorem, we arrived at a clean, rational fraction.
This is the essence of JEE mathematics: taking complex, seemingly overwhelming scenarios and reducing them to their core, elegant truths. Keep practicing this mindset, and you will find that no problem is too daunting.
The final answer is P(B)=75.