Sigma Percentile
JEE Advanced 1982
LEVELBoard

Animated Solution for Mathematics - Probability: If and are two events such that , and , then is equal to

Select Answer:

Visualized Solution

Visualizing the Setup: Events and

  • Let be the universal sample space.
  • We have two events and represented as subsets of .
  • Given conditions: and .

Understanding the Target:

  • We want to find the conditional probability .
  • Here, represents the complement of (event does not occur).
  • Similarly, represents the complement of (event does not occur).

Applying the Conditional Probability Formula

  • Recall the fundamental definition of conditional probability: .
  • Substituting and into the formula:

Analyzing the Denominator:

  • Since we are given , we know that .
  • This ensures that the denominator is strictly greater than .
  • Thus, the conditional probability is mathematically well-defined.

Simplifying the Numerator: De Morgan's Law

  • Now, let's simplify the numerator: .
  • According to De Morgan's Law: .
  • Therefore, the probability becomes: .

Applying the Complement Rule

  • Using the basic complement rule of probability: .
  • Applying this to the union event :
  • .

Substituting Back into the Equation

  • Now, substitute the simplified numerator back into our conditional probability expression:

Matching the Correct Option

  • Let's compare our result with the given options:
  • Option 1:
  • Option 2:
  • Option 3:
  • Our derived expression matches Option 3 perfectly.

The Sigma Insight: Conditional Probability

Solution Diagram

Analyzing the Setup

We begin with the fundamental definition of conditional probability. When we write , we are asking a specific question: "Given that we are restricted to the world where does not happen, what is the probability that also does not happen?"
Mathematically, this is defined as:
This equation is our anchor. The denominator, , represents our new "universe." Because we are given $P(B) eq 1$, we know , ensuring we are safe from the abyss of division by zero.

The Power of De Morgan's Law

Now, look at the numerator: . This is where many students stumble, as they often try to calculate probabilities of individual events instead of utilizing set theory.
We invoke De Morgan's Law, a beautiful symmetry in logic. It tells us that the intersection of the complements of two sets is identical to the complement of their union:
Imagine the Venn diagram. The region is everything outside circle , and the region is everything outside circle . The intersection is the region that is outside both circles, which is precisely the entire sample space minus the combined area of and .
Thus, we can write:

The Final Synthesis

We are almost at the finish line. We know that for any event , the probability of its complement is .
Applying this to our union event, we get:
Now, we substitute this back into our original conditional probability expression:
Look at this result. It is elegant, concise, and logically sound. It perfectly matches the third option provided in the problem.
By visualizing the sample space and applying set theory, we transformed a complex conditional probability into a simple, manageable expression. Keep practicing this level of rigor, and you will find that even the most intimidating problems begin to unravel before your eyes.

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