Sigma Percentile
JEE Advanced 1998
LEVELBoard

Animated Solution for Mathematics - Probability: If and are the complementary events of events and respectively and if , then

Select Answer:

* Multiple Correct

Visualized Solution

Visualizing the Sample Space

  • Let be the universal sample space containing two events, and .
  • The complements of these events are denoted by and respectively.
  • We are given the constraint .
  • This constraint ensures that neither nor is zero, making all conditional probabilities well-defined.

What are Complementary Events?

  • For any event , its complement represents the event that does not occur.
  • Mathematically, .
  • This means the sum of the probability of an event happening and not happening is always exactly .

The Concept of Conditional Probability

  • Conditional probability (often written as ) is the probability of event occurring given that event has already occurred.
  • Formula: , where .
  • This effectively shrinks our sample space from the entire universe to just the subset .

Probability of Complements under Conditioning

  • Within the new reduced sample space , any outcome must either belong to or not belong to (which is ).
  • Therefore, the sum of conditional probabilities of complementary events under the same condition is always :

Testing Option A: Conditioning on

  • Let's apply our conditional complement rule: .
  • Let the conditioning event (which is valid since ).
  • Let the event of interest .
  • Substituting these into the formula gives:

Verification of Option A

  • Let's write this using the definition:
  • Combine the fractions:
  • Since , the numerator simplifies to .
  • Option A is correct.

Testing Option D: Conditioning on

  • Now let's look at Option D: .
  • Here, the conditioning event is .
  • Since , we know , so conditioning on is perfectly valid.
  • Let the event of interest be .

Verification of Option D

  • Applying the conditional complement rule with conditioning event :
  • Combine the numerators:
  • Since , the numerator simplifies to .
  • Option D is correct.

Why Option B is Incorrect

  • Option B states: .
  • Here, we are adding probabilities conditioned on two different spaces: and .
  • There is no general rule stating that the probability of given plus the probability of given must equal .
  • For example, if is independent of , then and . Their sum would be , which is not necessarily .

Why Option C is Incorrect

  • Option C states: .
  • Similar to Option B, the conditioning events are different ( and ).
  • Additionally, the events of interest are different ( and ).
  • This expression does not simplify to in general.

Summary of Correct Options

  • The fundamental rule of conditional probability complements requires the same conditioning event.
  • is always true.
  • This directly validates:
  • Option A: (conditioned on )
  • Option D: (conditioned on )
  • Correct Options: A and D.

The Sigma Insight: Conditional Probability

Solution Diagram

The Geometry of Uncertainty

Mastering Conditional Probability
Welcome, future engineers. Today, we are going to peel back the layers of a problem that seems simple on the surface but tests the very foundation of how you perceive probability.
In the JEE Advanced arena, the difference between a top ranker and a struggler often lies in the ability to visualize the 'Sample Space.' Let us embark on this journey to understand why conditional probability is not just a formula, but a change of perspective.

Phase 1

The Art of the Zoom
Imagine you are looking at a map of the entire universe, which we call the sample space . Inside this map, there are two events, and .
Now, suppose I tell you, 'Event has occurred.' What happens to your map? You don't care about the rest of the universe anymore; you zoom in. Your new universe is no longer ; it is now .
This is the essence of conditional probability. When we write , we are asking: 'Given that we are strictly inside the region , what is the likelihood that we are also inside ?'
Mathematically, we define this as:
This formula is a ratio of areas. It tells us how much of the 'F-world' is occupied by .
The problem gives us the constraint . If were zero, we would be dividing by zero—a mathematical impossibility. If were one, would be the entire sample space, and the condition would be trivial.

Phase 2

The Complementary Law in a Restricted World
Now, let us consider the complement of , denoted as . In the original sample space , we know that . This is the law of total probability; you are either in or you are not.
But what happens when we restrict our vision to ? If you are standing inside the region , you are either in the part of that overlaps with (which is ), or you are in the part of that overlaps with (which is ).
Because these two regions, and , partition the entire set , their probabilities must sum to the probability of . If we divide this entire equation by , we get:
This simplifies beautifully to:
This is the golden rule of conditional complements: The conditioning event must remain identical. As long as you are conditioning on , the sum of the probabilities of complementary events and will always be .

Phase 3

Navigating the Traps
Now, let us look at the options provided in the problem. We have identified that is a truth. Similarly, if we replace with , the logic holds perfectly.
Thus, is also true.
But what about Options B and C? Option B suggests .
Let us test this. Imagine and are independent. Then and . The sum would be .
Unless , this sum is not . This proves that mixing conditioning events is a dangerous path. You cannot add probabilities from different universes and expect them to sum to unity; it is a category error in probability theory.

Conclusion

The Elegance of Consistency
In your JEE Advanced journey, you will encounter many problems that test your ability to distinguish between valid identities and common misconceptions. The lesson here is simple yet profound: Consistency is key.
When you see conditional probabilities, always check the conditioning event (the part after the vertical bar). If the conditioning events are the same, you can apply the complement rule. If they are different, you are dealing with two separate scenarios, and you cannot simply add them.
By understanding the geometry of the sample space—by seeing how we 'zoom' into or —you move beyond rote memorization. You start to see the math as a living, breathing structure. Keep this intuition sharp, stay curious, and remember: every complex problem is just a collection of simple, elegant truths waiting to be connected.

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