Analyzing the Setup
Welcome, future engineers! Today, we are not just solving a probability problem; we are learning to navigate the landscape of uncertainty. In the JEE Advanced arena, probability is not about guessing; it is about the rigorous, systematic accounting of possibilities.
We are given a discrete random variable X with a distribution table where X∈{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}. The first step is to verify the validity of the distribution by ensuring the sum of all probabilities equals unity:
∑P(X)=0.15+0.23+0.12+0.10+0.20+0.08+0.07+0.05=1.00
The system is closed, consistent, and ready for analysis.
Defining the Players
We have two events, E and F. Let us define them with absolute precision.
Event E is the set of prime numbers in our sample space. Since 1 is not prime, the primes in our set are 2,3,5, and 7. Thus, we define our set as:
Event F is defined by the condition X<4. The values that satisfy this inequality are 1,2, and 3. Thus:
Notice the overlap; both 2 and 3 appear in both sets. This is the crux of the problem, as we must ensure we do not count these probabilities twice.
The Union of Possibilities
We need to find P(E∪F). The union E∪F represents the set of all outcomes that belong to either E or F.
Combining our sets while ensuring each unique element is listed only once, we get:
Any outcome in this set makes the event E∪F occur.
The Final Calculation
Since these are discrete, mutually exclusive outcomes, the probability of the union is the sum of the individual probabilities:
P(E∪F)=P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)+P(7)
Extracting these values from our distribution table:
- P(1)=0.15
- P(2)=0.23
- P(3)=0.12
- P(5)=0.20
- P(7)=0.07
Performing the summation:
P(E∪F)=0.15+0.23+0.12+0.20+0.07
Calculating step-by-step:
0.15+0.23=0.38
0.38+0.12=0.50
0.50+0.20=0.70
0.70+0.07=0.77
The Takeaway
The final result is 0.77.
By systematically defining your sets and summing the probabilities, you eliminate the room for error. You have mastered the logic of the union; keep this discipline, and you will find that even the most complex probability problems become simple, elegant, and solvable.