Sigma Percentile
JEE Main 2019 (10 April Shift 2)
LEVELBoard

Animated Solution for Mathematics - Probability: Minimum number of times a fair coin must be tossed so that the probability of getting at least one head is more than 99% is :

Select Answer:

Visualized Solution

The Threshold

  • Objective: Find minimum such that
  • We want to cross the probability mark.

The Complement Rule

  • Calculating "at least one" directly is complex.
  • Use the Complement Rule:

Probability of No Heads

  • For a fair coin,
  • For independent tosses:

Forming the Inequality

  • Substitute into the condition:

Rearranging Terms

  • Subtract from both sides:

Handling Negative Signs

  • Multiply by on both sides.
  • Rule: Reverse the inequality sign!

Converting to Fractions

  • Convert decimal to fraction:

Taking the Reciprocal

  • Take the reciprocal of both sides.
  • Rule: Reverse the inequality sign again!

Testing Powers of Two

  • We need the smallest integer .
  • (Too small)
  • (Too small)
  • (Valid!)

The Minimum Tosses

  • Since , the minimum value is .
  • Final Answer: 7 tosses

The Sigma Insight: Binomial Distribution

Solution Diagram

Analyzing the Setup

To determine how many times a coin must be tossed to be more than sure of getting at least one head, we avoid the tedious process of calculating individual probabilities for one, two, or three heads.
Instead, we utilize the Complement Rule. We recognize that the probability of getting at least one head is the complement of getting zero heads (all tails).
The fundamental relationship is defined as:

The Master Equation

For a fair coin, the probability of landing on tails in a single toss is . For independent tosses, the probability of obtaining all tails is given by:
We require this probability to satisfy the condition of being greater than :

Solving the Inequality

Subtracting from both sides of the inequality yields:
When multiplying both sides by , we must remember to flip the inequality sign. This results in:
Converting the decimal to the fraction , we have:
Taking the reciprocal of both sides flips the inequality sign once more, leading to:

Final Calculation

We now seek the smallest integer that satisfies the inequality . Evaluating the powers of :
Since , the smallest integer that satisfies our condition is .

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