Analyzing the Setup
Imagine you are holding a standard six-sided die and rolling it n times. This scenario is a classic application of the Binomial Distribution.
We define a 'success' as rolling an odd number (1, 3, or 5). The probability
p of success on a single roll is:
p=63=21
Consequently, the probability
q of failure (rolling an even number) is:
q=1−p=21
The probability of obtaining exactly
r successes in
n trials is given by the formula:
P(X=r)=(rn)prqn−r
Substituting our specific probabilities, we obtain:
P(X=r)=(rn)(21)r(21)n−r=(rn)(21)n
The Hidden Symmetry
The problem states that the probability of getting exactly seven odd numbers is equal to the probability of getting exactly nine odd numbers. Mathematically, this is expressed as:
P(X=7)=P(X=9)
Substituting our derived formula into this equality, we get:
(7n)(21)n=(9n)(21)n
Since
(21)n is non-zero, we can cancel it from both sides to arrive at:
(7n)=(9n)
Using the property of combinations where
(xn)=(yn) implies either
x=y or
n=x+y, and noting that
$7
eq 9$, we conclude:
n=7+9=16
The Final Target
Now that we have determined the total number of trials n=16, we calculate the probability of getting exactly two even numbers. We redefine our success as 'getting an even number', where p=21 and r=2.
Using the binomial formula:
P(Y=2)=(216)(21)2(21)14=(216)(21)16
Calculating the combination
(216):
(216)=2×116×15=120
Thus, the probability is:
P(Y=2)=216120
To match the required form
215k, we simplify the expression:
2×215120=21560
By direct comparison, we find the final value:
k=60