The Dance of Independence
Unlocking Probability
Welcome, fellow traveler on the JEE journey. Today, we are not just solving a probability problem; we are uncovering the hidden symmetry of independent events.
Imagine you are standing before a Venn diagram with two circles, E and F. They are independent, which is a fancy way of saying that the occurrence of one tells you absolutely nothing about the occurrence of the other. It is a state of perfect, blissful ignorance between two events.
Phase 1
The Variables of Uncertainty
Let us define our players. We assign P(E)=x and P(F)=y.
The problem provides the probability that both happen:
P(E∩F)=121
Because
E and
F are independent, we know that the probability of their intersection is simply the product of their individual probabilities. Thus, we have our first anchor equation:
xy=121
Phase 2
The Secret of the Complements
The problem also states that the probability that neither E nor F happens is 21. In the language of sets, this is P(Ec∩Fc)=21.
If
E and
F are independent, then their complements,
Ec and
Fc, are also independent. Therefore, we can express the intersection of the complements as the product of their individual probabilities:
P(Ec∩Fc)=P(Ec)P(Fc)
Since
P(Ec)=1−x and
P(Fc)=1−y, we obtain the following relationship:
(1−x)(1−y)=21
Phase 3
The Algebraic Bridge
We now have a system of two equations:
xy=121 and
(1−x)(1−y)=21. Let us expand the second equation:
1−x−y+xy=21
This simplifies to the form:
1−(x+y)+xy=21
Substituting our known value
xy=121 into this expression, we get:
1−(x+y)+121=21
Solving for the sum
(x+y), we find:
x+y=1+121−21=1212+1−6=127
Phase 4
The Quadratic Finale
We are left with a classic scenario: we know the sum of two numbers is 127 and their product is 121. These values are the roots of the quadratic equation t2−St+P=0.
Substituting our values, we get:
t2−127t+121=0
Multiplying by
12 to clear the fractions, we obtain:
12t2−7t+1=0
Factoring the quadratic equation:
12t2−4t−3t+1=0
(3t−1)(4t−1)=0
The roots are t=31 and t=41. Thus, the probabilities are P(E)=31 and P(F)=41 (or vice versa). You have successfully navigated the logic of independence and emerged victorious.