Analyzing the Setup
Welcome, future engineer. Today, we are not just solving a probability problem; we are mapping the landscape of human success across three distinct domains: Mathematics (M), Physics (P), and Chemistry (C).
Imagine you are standing before a massive Venn diagram. The beauty of this problem lies in the overlap—the regions where these circles intersect. This is where the magic happens.
The Anatomy of 'At Least'
When the problem states there is a
75% chance of passing in 'at least one' subject, it defines the total area covered by the union of all three circles:
P(M∪P∪C)=0.75
The problem then introduces a more restrictive condition: a 50% chance of passing in 'at least two'. This means passing in exactly two subjects OR passing in all three.
Mathematically, we express this as:
P(At least 2)=P(Exactly 2)+P(Exactly 3)
Given
P(At least 2)=0.50 and
P(Exactly 2)=0.40, we find the probability of passing in all three subjects:
P(M∩P∩C)=0.50−0.40=0.10
Since the events are independent, we know:
P(M∩P∩C)=m⋅p⋅c=101
The Overcounting Trap
Now, we calculate the sum of the pairwise intersections: mp+pc+cm. The probability of 'exactly two' is not simply the sum of the pairwise intersections.
If you look at the Venn diagram, each pairwise intersection (e.g., mp) includes the central region where all three circles overlap. If we add mp+pc+cm, we count that central region three times.
To isolate 'exactly two', we must subtract the central region three times:
P(Exactly 2)=(mp+pc+cm)−3(mpc)
Substituting our known values
0.40=(mp+pc+cm)−3(0.10), we solve for the sum of pairwise intersections:
mp+pc+cm=0.40+0.30=0.70
The Grand Unification
Finally, we invoke the
Inclusion-Exclusion Principle, the master key for three-set problems:
P(M∪P∪C)=(m+p+c)−(mp+pc+cm)+mpc
We now substitute our known values into the equation:
0.75=(m+p+c)−0.70+0.10
Simplifying the right side:
0.75=(m+p+c)−0.60
m+p+c=1.35
Converting this to a fraction:
m+p+c=100135=2027
We have successfully navigated the logic. We found p+m+c=2027 and pmc=101. Probability is not just about numbers; it is about understanding the structure of overlapping realities.