Analyzing the Setup
We are given the set of digits {1,2,2,2,4,4,0} and tasked with forming five-digit numbers. We seek the conditional probability that a number is a multiple of 20, given that it is a multiple of 5.
A number is divisible by 5 if its last digit is 0 or 5. Since our set contains no 5, the last digit must be 0.
With the last slot fixed as 0, we must fill the remaining four slots using the set {1,2,2,2,4,4}. This set of six digits forms our sample space.
The Combinatorial Dance
To find the total number of five-digit numbers divisible by 5, we calculate the permutations of four digits chosen from {1,2,2,2,4,4}. We categorize these by the selection of digits:
1. Selection
{1,2,2,2}:
3!4!=4 ways
2. Selection
{2,2,2,4}:
3!4!=4 ways
3. Selection
{1,2,2,4}:
2!4!=12 ways
4. Selection
{1,2,4,4}:
2!4!=12 ways
5. Selection
{2,2,4,4}:
2!2!4!=6 ways
Summing these, the total number of favorable outcomes for the condition (divisibility by 5) is n(S)=4+4+12+12+6=38.
The Multiple of 20 Trap
A number is divisible by 20 if its last two digits are divisible by 20. Since the last digit is 0, the possible two-digit endings are 20 and 40.
We use complementary counting. The only other possible ending for a number ending in 0 is 10. We calculate the number of ways to form a number ending in 10 using three digits from {2,2,2,4,4}:
1. Selection
{2,2,2}:
3!3!=1 way
2. Selection
{2,2,4}:
2!3!=3 ways
3. Selection
{2,4,4}:
2!3!=3 ways
The total number of arrangements ending in 10 is 1+3+3=7. Thus, the number of multiples of 20 is 38−7=31.
Final Calculation
The conditional probability p is the ratio of the number of multiples of 20 to the total number of multiples of 5:
The problem asks for the value of 38p. Substituting our value for p:
The final answer is 31.