Sigma Percentile
JEE Main 2023 (11 April Shift 2)
LEVELJEE Main

Animated Solution for Mathematics - Probability: Let the probability of getting head for a biased coin be . It is tossed repeatedly until a head appears. Let be the number of tosses required. If the probability that the equation has no real root is , where and are co-prime, then is equal to

Enter Numerical Value:

Visualized Solution

Understanding the Experiment

  • Biased coin probabilities: ,
  • Experiment: Toss repeatedly until a Head () appears.
  • Let be the total number of tosses required.
  • Target Equation:

Condition for No Real Roots

  • For a quadratic equation to have no real roots, its discriminant must be negative.
  • Discriminant formula:
  • Graphically, the parabola must not intersect the x-axis.

Setting up the Discriminant

  • Compare with :
  • Substitute into :

Solving the Inequality

  • Expand the terms:
  • Rearrange:
  • Isolate :
  • Calculate the decimal value:

Finding Valid Toss Counts

  • represents the number of coin tosses, so
  • Check : (Valid)
  • Check : (Valid)
  • Check : (Valid)
  • Check : (Invalid)
  • Therefore, can only be or .

Probability of Tosses

  • The event means getting Tails followed by Head.
  • Since tosses are independent, we multiply their probabilities.
  • General formula:

Probability for

  • means getting a Head on the very first toss.

Probability for

  • means getting a Tail first, then a Head.

Probability for

  • means getting two Tails, followed by a Head.

Total Required Probability

  • The events and are mutually exclusive.
  • Total Probability
  • Make denominators equal:

Finding

  • We found the probability is
  • The problem states this probability is
  • Comparing them: and
  • Check: and are co-prime (no common factors).
  • Calculate
  • Final Answer: 27

The Sigma Insight: Random Variables and Probability Distributions

Solution Diagram

Analyzing the Setup

We are given a biased coin where the probability of heads is and the probability of tails is . The experiment involves tossing the coin until the first head appears, with representing the total number of tosses.
We are tasked with finding the probability that the quadratic equation has no real roots.

The Algebraic Gatekeeper

A quadratic equation has no real roots if and only if its discriminant is strictly less than zero. For our equation, the coefficients are , , and .
Substituting these into the discriminant condition:

The Discrete Reality

Since represents the number of tosses, it must be a positive integer (). We test the possible values of that satisfy :
For : (Valid)
For : (Valid)
For : (Valid)
For : (Invalid)
Thus, the condition for no real roots is satisfied if .

The Probability Tree

The probability that the first head appears on the -th toss follows the geometric distribution: . We calculate the probabilities for our valid cases:
For :
For :
For :

Final Calculation

Since these events are mutually exclusive, the total probability is the sum of the individual probabilities:
Converting to a common denominator of :
Given where and are co-prime, we find the final result:

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