Analyzing the Setup
We are given a biased coin where the probability of heads is P(H)=41 and the probability of tails is P(T)=43. The experiment involves tossing the coin until the first head appears, with N representing the total number of tosses.
We are tasked with finding the probability that the quadratic equation 64x2+5Nx+1=0 has no real roots.
The Algebraic Gatekeeper
A quadratic equation ax2+bx+c=0 has no real roots if and only if its discriminant D=b2−4ac is strictly less than zero. For our equation, the coefficients are a=64, b=5N, and c=1.
Substituting these into the discriminant condition:
The Discrete Reality
Since N represents the number of tosses, it must be a positive integer (N∈{1,2,3,...}). We test the possible values of N that satisfy N2<10.24:
For N=1: 12=1<10.24 (Valid)
For N=2: 22=4<10.24 (Valid)
For N=3: 32=9<10.24 (Valid)
For N=4: 42=16>10.24 (Invalid)
Thus, the condition for no real roots is satisfied if N∈{1,2,3}.
The Probability Tree
The probability that the first head appears on the k-th toss follows the geometric distribution: P(N=k)=P(T)k−1⋅P(H). We calculate the probabilities for our valid cases:
For
N=2:
P(N=2)=(43)⋅(41)=163
For
N=3:
P(N=3)=(43)2⋅(41)=169⋅41=649
Final Calculation
Since these events are mutually exclusive, the total probability is the sum of the individual probabilities:
Converting to a common denominator of 64:
Given P=qp where p=37 and q=64 are co-prime, we find the final result: