Analyzing the Setup
Welcome, future engineer. Today, we are not just solving a problem; we are peeling back the layers of a probability distribution. In the world of JEE Advanced, probability is about understanding the 'DNA' of a random variable.
We have a random variable X that takes values {0,2,4,6,8}, and its behavior is governed by two unknown parameters, a and b. Our mission is to find the variance, but to get there, we must first uncover the identity of these variables.
The Normalization Constraint
Before we can calculate anything, we must respect the fundamental law of probability: the total probability of all possible outcomes must sum to exactly 1. This is the normalization condition, the bedrock upon which all statistical models are built.
We look at the bottom row of our table: a,2a,(a+b),2b,3b. Summing these up, we get:
Grouping the terms, we find the following linear relationship:
This is our first anchor. It tells us that a and b are locked in a linear relationship.
The Center of Mass (The Mean)
Nature provides us with the second piece of the puzzle: the mean, or the expected value E(X). The problem states that E(X)=946. The formula for the mean is the weighted average of all outcomes:
Substituting our values, we get:
0(a)+2(2a)+4(a+b)+6(2b)+8(3b)=946
Expanding this carefully, we obtain 8a+40b=946. Dividing by 2 to simplify, we arrive at:
Now, we solve the system of equations: 4a+6b=1 and 4a+20b=923. Subtracting the first from the second eliminates a instantly:
Substituting b=91 back into 4a+6b=1, we find 4a+96=1, which simplifies to 4a=31, or a=121. We have successfully decoded the distribution.
The Spread (Variance)
Now that we know a and b, we can tackle the variance. Variance, denoted by σ2, measures the 'spread' of the random variable around its mean. We use the standard computational formula:
We already know E(X)=946. Now, we calculate E(X2), the expected value of the squares:
E(X2)=02(a)+22(2a)+42(a+b)+62(2b)+82(3b)
Substituting our values for a and b into this expression, we calculate:
E(X2)=24a+280b=24(121)+280(91)=2+9280=9298
Final Calculation
We are at the finish line. Using E(X2)=9298 and E(X)=946, the variance is:
σ2=81298×9−812116=812682−2116=81566
The final result is 81566. This value represents the quantification of the uncertainty in this specific system.