Analyzing the Setup
Welcome, future engineer. Today, we are not just solving a probability problem; we are learning how to look at a chaotic system and impose order upon it.
Imagine you are standing before a box filled with coins: 2 fifty-paise coins, 5 twenty-five-paise coins, and N smaller coins (10p or 5p). You are asked to reach in and grab 5 coins at random.
The question is: what is the probability that their total value is less than 150 paise? If you try to count every single combination that sums to less than 150, you will be here until the next JEE exam.
This is where we pivot. We use the power of the Complementary Event. Instead of counting the 'less than' scenarios, we count the 'greater than or equal to' scenarios and subtract that from 1.
Defining the Universe
First, we must define our sample space. We have 2 fifty-paise coins, 5 twenty-five-paise coins, and N smaller coins. The total number of coins is 2+5+N=N+7.
We are choosing 5 coins from this total. The total number of ways to do this is given by the combination formula:
This is our denominator, the universe of all possible outcomes.
The Strategic Pivot
We define our target event E as the total value being less than 150 paise. The complement, Ec, is the event where the total value is ≥150 paise.
Our strategy is simple:
Now, how do we find P(Ec)? We need to reach a sum of at least 150 paise using only 5 coins. To do this, we must be greedy and prioritize the highest denomination coins: the 50p coins.
The Case Analysis
Let's break this down systematically.
Case 1: We select both 50p coins. That gives us 100 paise. We need 3 more coins to reach 5 total. If we pick 3 twenty-five-paise coins, we get 100+3(25)=175 paise. This is ≥150. The number of ways is:
Case 2: We select both 50p coins (100 paise) and only 2 twenty-five-paise coins (50 paise). We need 1 more coin from the N pool. The total is 100+50+(10 or 5)=160 or 155 paise. Both are ≥150. The number of ways is:
Case 3: We select only 1 fifty-paise coin (50 paise). To reach 150, we need 100 more paise from the remaining 4 coins. The only way is to pick 4 twenty-five-paise coins. Total: 50+4(25)=150 paise. This is exactly 150, which satisfies our condition. The number of ways is:
The Synthesis
We have exhausted all possibilities. If we pick 0 fifty-paise coins, the maximum value is 5(25)=125, which is less than 150.
The total favorable ways for Ec is 10+10N+10=10(N+2). Finally, the probability of the complement is:
Subtracting this from 1 gives us our final answer:
See how elegant that is? By breaking the problem into cases and using the complement, we turned a mountain of complexity into a simple, manageable calculation. Keep this mindset, and no problem will ever be too difficult for you.