Analyzing the Setup
Imagine you are holding two peculiar dice. One die has faces marked {1,1,2,2,3,4}, and the other has faces {1,2,2,3,3,4}.
When you roll them, the standard rules of probability—where every outcome is equally likely—do not apply. We must look at the underlying structure of these dice to move from intuition to systematic counting.
The Grid of Possibilities
Before we calculate the probability of specific sums, we must define our sample space. Since each die has six faces, the total number of possible outcomes when both are thrown is:
Think of this as a 6×6 grid where each cell represents a unique combination of the two dice. Even though some numbers repeat, we treat each face as a distinct entity to ensure our counting remains accurate.
Case 1
The Quest for Sum 4
We are looking for the probability that the sum is 4 or 5. Let's start with the sum of 4. The pairs (x,y) from our dice that produce this sum are (1,3), (2,2), and (3,1).
We calculate the number of ways for each:
For (1,3): Die 1 has two 1s and Die 2 has two 3s, so there are 2×2=4 ways.
For (2,2): Die 1 has two 2s and Die 2 has two 2s, so there are 2×2=4 ways.
* For (3,1): Die 1 has one 3 and Die 2 has one 1, so there is 1×1=1 way.
Adding these up, we find 4+4+1=9 favorable outcomes for a sum of 4.
Case 2
The Quest for Sum 5
Now, let's turn our attention to the sum of 5. The pairs that satisfy this are (1,4), (2,3), (3,2), and (4,1).
Again, we calculate the frequency for each:
For (1,4): Die 1 has two 1s and Die 2 has one 4, giving 2×1=2 ways.
For (2,3): Die 1 has two 2s and Die 2 has two 3s, giving 2×2=4 ways.
For (3,2): Die 1 has one 3 and Die 2 has two 2s, giving 1×2=2 ways.
For (4,1): Die 1 has one 4 and Die 2 has one 1, giving 1×1=1 way.
Summing these, we get 2+4+2+1=9 favorable outcomes for a sum of 5.
The Final Synthesis
We have successfully navigated the two cases. The total number of favorable outcomes is the sum of the ways to get 4 and the ways to get 5:
The probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to total outcomes:
Simplifying this fraction, we arrive at the elegant result of 21. This problem teaches us that probability is not just about formulas; it is about the patience to map out the reality of the situation.