Analyzing the Setup
We are given five observations x1,x2,x3,x4,x5 with a mean xˉ5=524 and a variance σ52=25194. These parameters serve as the foundation for determining the sum of the observations and the sum of their squares.
The Master Equation
First, we calculate the total sum of the five observations using the mean formula xˉ=n∑xi:
Next, we utilize the variance formula σ2=n∑xi2−(xˉ)2 to find the sum of the squares:
25194=5∑i=15xi2−(524)2
Solving for the sum of squares:
5∑i=15xi2=25194+25576=25770=5154
Surgical Extraction of the Fifth Observation
We are given that the mean of the first four observations is xˉ4=27. The sum of these four observations is:
Since the sum of all five observations is 24, the fifth observation x5 is:
We now determine the sum of the squares of the first four observations:
i=1∑4xi2=i=1∑5xi2−x52=154−102=54
Final Calculation
We define a as the variance of the first four observations. Applying the variance formula:
a=454−(27)2=454−449=45
The problem requires the value of (4a+x5). Substituting our derived values:
The final result is 15.