Analyzing the Setup
Imagine you are standing in front of an urn containing a hidden world of color: three red balls, four blue balls, and two green balls. You are tasked with reaching in and pulling out three balls at random.
The goal is to determine the probability that you pull out three balls, each of a different color. This process serves as a fundamental lesson in organizing the chaos of random events.
Phase 1
The Total Sample Space
Before calculating the probability of our specific event, we must define the entire universe of possibilities. We have a total of 3+4+2=9 balls.
Since we are drawing three balls without replacement and the order of selection does not matter, we utilize the combination formula:
To find the total number of ways to choose any three balls from nine, we calculate 9C3:
There are exactly 84 different ways to grab three balls from this urn. This value serves as our denominator.
Phase 2
The Favorable Event
Now, we focus on the specific outcome where we select one red ball, one blue ball, and one green ball. This is an 'AND' condition requiring simultaneous selection.
We calculate the number of ways to choose one ball from each color group:
Because these events must occur together to form our desired set, we multiply the individual combinations:
There are 24 distinct ways to achieve our goal.
Phase 3
The Final Calculation
Probability is defined as the ratio of the favorable outcomes to the total number of outcomes. We set up the ratio as follows:
To simplify, we divide both the numerator and the denominator by their greatest common divisor, which is 12:
The final probability of drawing three balls of different colors is 72.
The Takeaway
Mathematics is the art of counting without having to list every single possibility. By using combinations, we bypassed the need to enumerate every outcome manually.
We identified the total sample space, isolated the favorable space, and derived the elegant ratio that governs this event. Keep practicing this logic, and you will find that even the most complex probability problems become clear.